PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 15 hoursLiquidity: $773.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $133.3KEvent: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

29.5¢
Karmine Corp
70.5¢
Bilibili Gaming
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly7Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:72 trades$36.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 32s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Karmine Corp · $3.5K net·2 wallets·$3.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKarmine Corp$24.0K@ 30¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$81
6h
−$1.7K
tracked
$36.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: Karmine Corp · $3.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 15h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-27 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Karmine Corp.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between Karmine Corp and Bilibili Gaming in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Karmine Corp. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 26, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 16h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karmine Corp; negative values favor Bilibili Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBilibili Gaming · $81
6hBilibili Gaming · $1.7K
24hKarmine Corp · $20.0K

Karmine Corp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karmine Corp price. Bilibili Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Karmine Corp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current29.5¢
VWAP 24h29.77¢▼ below by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d29.78¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Karmine Corp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$30.5K
25¢
← now
$8.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKarmine Corp$24.0K@ 30.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 17 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
22.35¢$941.7Kpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
32.5¢$777.6Kpriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0.05¢$715.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
9.05¢$692.0Kpriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
67.65¢$691.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0.95¢$598.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0.35¢$571.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.15¢$422.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Karmine Corp$24.0K
BUY VWAP 30.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.