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Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce

● quote 43s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $1.4MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce

Polymarket indicative prices · 13 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Alexander Zverev
0.05¢
Martin Landaluce
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets58Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 17 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:251 trades$355.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Zverev · $90.9K net·17 wallets(2🐋)·$157.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexander Zverev$39.4K@ 76¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Martin Landaluce pressure: $16.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$16.3K
6h
+$101.4K
tracked
$355.1K

17 verified profitable wallets: Alexander Zverev · $90.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +24.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 24.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Martin Landaluce or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Martin Landaluce in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Martin Landaluce. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
dbbbt2 linked markets · $8.5K gross
neutralwave232 linked markets · $3.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Alexander Zverev1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 76.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 84.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -13.0pp
Latest book event: Alexander Zverev UP 16.0pp · near-book depth $920 → $449 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Martin Landaluce. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMartin Landaluce · $16.3K
6hAlexander Zverev · $101.4K
24hAlexander Zverev · $108.7K

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Martin Landaluce fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h75.18¢▲ above by 24.8pp
VWAP 7d75.18¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$29.0K
90¢
$21.3K
85¢
$17.0K
80¢
$36.3K
75¢
$149.3K
70¢
$40.6K
65¢
$12.5K
60¢
$20.4K
55¢
$2.4K
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$3.0K
35¢
$8.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$13.1K
15¢
$664
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlexander Zverev$24.9K@ 77.99¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$39.4K@ 76.48¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMartin Landaluce$12.5K@ 31.13¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMartin Landaluce$19.9K@ 24.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cAlexander Zverev$70.1K
BUY VWAP 78.05¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesAlexander Zverev$40.0K
BUY VWAP 70.58¢·11 fills
UpTheBluesMartin Landaluce$25.2K
BUY VWAP 28.24¢·11 fills
ferrariChampions2026Martin Landaluce$21.1K
BUY VWAP 24.07¢·3 fills
kkookkooMartin Landaluce$12.5K
BUY VWAP 31.13¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.