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Ningbo: Sergey Fomin vs Liam Broady

● quote 381 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $57.9KEvent: Ningbo: Sergey Fomin vs Liam Broady

Indicative prices · 381 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

2.0¢
Sergey Fomin
99.9¢
Liam Broady
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets74Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:47 trades$9.8K trackedsource coverage 17%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 415 min agoofficial metadata 388 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Liam Broady · $955 net·3 wallets·$1.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLiam Broady$3.3K@ 64¢·0x9410…ffcd

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$9.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Liam Broady · $955 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 381 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 415 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Fomin and Liam Broady in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Liam Broady. This market will resolve to 'Liam Broady' if Liam Broady advances against Sergey Fomin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Liam Broady UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $7.7K → $15.1K · 41s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sergey Fomin; negative values favor Liam Broady. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSergey Fomin · $0
6hSergey Fomin · $0
24hSergey Fomin · $1.5K

Sergey Fomin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sergey Fomin price. Liam Broady fills are converted to the complementary Sergey Fomin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.0¢
VWAP 24h44.87¢▼ below by 42.9pp
VWAP 7d44.87¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sergey Fomin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$222
80¢
$77
75¢
$131
70¢
$1.2K
65¢
$475
60¢
$1.6K
55¢
$0
50¢
$9
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$4.6K
30¢
$102
25¢
$74
20¢
$33
15¢
$0
10¢
$47
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$1.1K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.