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Guayaquil: Ryan Nijboer vs Mariano Kestelboim

Sports→TennisSettlement: Ryan NijboerLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $76.4KEvent: Guayaquil: Ryan Nijboer vs Mariano Kestelboim
100.0¢
Ryan Nijboer payout
0.0¢
Mariano Kestelboim payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:18 trades$6.3K trackedsource coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 479 min agoofficial metadata 106 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRyan Nijboer$3.5K@ 96¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Ryan Nijboer. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-01 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Nijboer and Mariano Kestelboim in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Nijboer' if Ryan Nijboer advances against Mariano Kestelboim. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Kestelboim' if Mariano Kestelboim advances against Ryan Nijboer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ryan Nijboer; negative values favor Mariano Kestelboim. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRyan Nijboer · $0
6hRyan Nijboer · $0
24hRyan Nijboer · $6.3K

Ryan Nijboer price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ryan Nijboer price. Mariano Kestelboim fills are converted to the complementary Ryan Nijboer probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h95.45¢▲ above by 4.5pp
VWAP 7d95.45¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ryan Nijboer price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.7K
90¢
$50
85¢
$18
80¢
$540
75¢
$4
70¢
$0
65¢
$54
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$15
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.