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Sioux Falls: James Kent Trotter vs Trevor Svajda

● quote 496 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $135.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $204.1KEvent: Sioux Falls: James Kent Trotter vs Trevor Svajda

Indicative prices · 496 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
James Kent Trotter
0.1¢
Trevor Svajda
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets85Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:40 trades$89.9K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 528 min agoofficial metadata 492 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:James Kent Trotter · $151 net·6 wallets·$179 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJames Kent Trotter$31.7K@ 74¢·robustmst

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$89.9K

6 verified profitable wallets: James Kent Trotter · $151 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 496 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 528 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 492 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 19:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between James Kent Trotter and Trevor Svajda in the Sioux Falls, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:40PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Kent Trotter' if James Kent Trotter advances against Trevor Svajda. This market will resolve to 'Trevor Svajda' if Trevor Svajda advances against James Kent Trotter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL James Kent Trotter@ 63.0¢9h ago
15m INVALIDATED -31.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPSELL James Kent Trotter@ 68.0¢9h ago
15m INVALIDATED -26.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY James Kent Trotter9h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY James Kent Trotter@ 47.0¢9h ago
15m CONFIRMED +21.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Trevor Svajda DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $4.0K → $65 · 15s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor James Kent Trotter; negative values favor Trevor Svajda. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJames Kent Trotter · $0
6hJames Kent Trotter · $0
24hTrevor Svajda · $22.6K

James Kent Trotter price VWAP

Volume-weighted James Kent Trotter price. Trevor Svajda fills are converted to the complementary James Kent Trotter probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h61.79¢▲ above by 38.1pp
VWAP 7d61.77¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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James Kent Trotter price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$29
90¢
$33
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.1K
75¢
$11.5K
70¢
$43.2K
65¢
$135
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$3.3K
40¢
$10.1K
35¢
$20.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$2
20¢
$0
15¢
$1
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJames Kent Trotter$31.7K@ 73.86¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 9 hours ago
SELLJames Kent Trotter$11.2K@ 74.41¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 9 hours ago
SELLJames Kent Trotter$11.5K@ 76.58¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYJames Kent Trotter$10.0K@ 41.68¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYJames Kent Trotter$10.0K@ 39.35¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

robustmstJames Kent Trotter$29.0K
BUY VWAP 39.74¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.