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Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun

● quote 598 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $102.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $95.7KEvent: Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun

Indicative prices · 598 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Petr Bar Biryukov
0.1¢
Fajing Sun
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets88Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:120 trades$15.0K trackedsource coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 603 min agoofficial metadata 601 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Fajing Sun · $4.1K net·9 wallets·$4.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFajing Sun$1.8K@ 65¢·muller.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$15.0K

9 verified profitable wallets: Fajing Sun · $4.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 598 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 603 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 601 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Bar Biryukov and Fajing Sun in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Fajing Sun. This market will resolve to 'Fajing Sun' if Fajing Sun advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Fajing Sun UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $2 → $201 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Petr Bar Biryukov; negative values favor Fajing Sun. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPetr Bar Biryukov · $0
6hPetr Bar Biryukov · $0
24hFajing Sun · $5.7K

Petr Bar Biryukov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Petr Bar Biryukov price. Fajing Sun fills are converted to the complementary Petr Bar Biryukov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h63.11¢▲ above by 36.8pp
VWAP 7d60.27¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Petr Bar Biryukov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.2K
90¢
$1.4K
85¢
$0
80¢
$599
75¢
$394
70¢
$0
65¢
$100
60¢
$182
55¢
$425
50¢
$1.8K
45¢
$399
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
$1.9K
30¢
$1.8K
25¢
$266
20¢
$514
15¢
$1.5K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.