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M15 Fergana: Grigory Shebekin vs David Eichenseher

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $40.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $259.1KEvent: M15 Fergana: Grigory Shebekin vs David Eichenseher

Polymarket indicative prices · 2 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Grigory Shebekin
99.95¢
David Eichenseher
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:34 trades$63.7K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:David Eichenseher · $3.8K net·2 wallets·$3.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGrigory Shebekin$6.5K@ 46¢·crazyoddslover

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$10
6h
+$9.3K
tracked
$63.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: David Eichenseher · $3.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +55.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 49 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 55.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-06 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Grigory Shebekin and David Eichenseher in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Grigory Shebekin' if Grigory Shebekin advances against David Eichenseher. This market will resolve to 'David Eichenseher' if David Eichenseher advances against Grigory Shebekin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY David Eichenseher2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY David Eichenseher@ 45.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +34.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: David Eichenseher UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $639 → $10.6K · 30s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Grigory Shebekin; negative values favor David Eichenseher. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGrigory Shebekin · $10
6hGrigory Shebekin · $9.3K
24hGrigory Shebekin · $9.3K

Grigory Shebekin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Grigory Shebekin price. David Eichenseher fills are converted to the complementary Grigory Shebekin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h53.54¢▼ below by 53.5pp
VWAP 7d53.54¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Grigory Shebekin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$8.4K
65¢
$5.7K
60¢
$3.3K
55¢
$5.1K
50¢
$10.3K
45¢
$18.4K
40¢
$7.7K
35¢
$4.6K
30¢
$3
25¢
$0
20¢
$16
15¢
$19
10¢
$0
5¢
$5
0¢
← now
$10

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kalmalDavid Eichenseher$16.1K
BUY VWAP 30.91¢·7 fills
crazyoddsloverGrigory Shebekin$15.8K
BUY VWAP 44.88¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.