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Wizards vs. Hawks

Sports→BasketballSettlement: HawksLiquidity: $501.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: Wizards vs. Hawks
0.0¢
Wizards payout
100.0¢
Hawks payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:239 trades$402.2K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 945 min agoofficial metadata 934 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hawks · $35.6K net·12 wallets·$44.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWizards$46.6K@ 28¢·Lakersfan111

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Hawks. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-07 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards".

•If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Wizards and Hawks, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 16h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 16h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ropetard6 linked markets · $168.8K gross
mooseborzoi8 linked markets · $88.2K gross
takeormake8 linked markets · $36.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Hawks@ 75.0¢20h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Hawks@ 75.0¢20h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Hawks UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $638 → $852 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Wizards; negative values favor Hawks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHawks · $35.9K
6hHawks · $119.6K
24hHawks · $128.8K

Wizards price VWAP

Volume-weighted Wizards price. Hawks fills are converted to the complementary Wizards probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h22.82¢▼ below by 22.8pp
VWAP 7d22.93¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Wizards price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$15.2K
30¢
$19.0K
25¢
$236.8K
20¢
$40.7K
15¢
$60.1K
10¢
$4.9K
5¢
$7.8K
0¢
← now
$33.3K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHawks$10.9K@ 85.0¢
lucio880x3a55…394e
🐋—about 16 hours ago
SELLHawks$13.9K@ 80.0¢
lucio880x3a55…394e
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYHawks$10.6K@ 80.0¢0x6db5…e279🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYHawks$10.8K@ 62.0¢
lucio880x3a55…394e
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYHawks$11.0K@ 83.0¢
reeper4560x5051…e34d
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYWizards$46.6K@ 28.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 18 hours ago
SELLHawks$14.3K@ 72.0¢
Wal10xa5aa…9134
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYHawks$32.1K@ 75.0¢
JoeyAroyyOO0xc374…0f3e
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYHawks$12.4K@ 74.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYHawks$10.6K@ 73.0¢
Moneyloverman0x906f…88b4
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYHawks$31.7K@ 72.76¢
Wal10xa5aa…9134
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYHawks$12.3K@ 72.0¢
Wal10xa5aa…9134
🐋—about 20 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Wizards$61.2K
BUY VWAP 27.87¢·3 fills
Wal1Hawks$44.6K
BUY VWAP 72.50¢·3 fills
takeormakeHawks$33.6K
BUY VWAP 80.55¢·9 fills
JoeyAroyyOOHawks$32.1K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill
lucio88Hawks$21.6K
BUY VWAP 71.74¢·2 fills
0x6db5…e279Hawks$20.6K
BUY VWAP 80.48¢·6 fills
mooseborzoiHawks$19.7K
BUY VWAP 72.49¢·12 fills
reeper456Hawks$11.0K
BUY VWAP 83.00¢·2 fills
MoneylovermanHawks$10.6K
BUY VWAP 73.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.