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Thunder vs. Grizzlies

Sports→BasketballSettlement: ThunderLiquidity: $523.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.5MEvent: Thunder vs. Grizzlies
100.0¢
Thunder payout
0.0¢
Grizzlies payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:194 trades$621.9K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 822 min agoofficial metadata 806 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Grizzlies · $69.9K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$143.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGrizzlies$62.0K@ 40¢·BreakTheBank

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Thunder. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-07 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder".

•If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Thunder and Grizzlies, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 13h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 13h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi8 linked markets · $133.2K gross
BreakTheBank2 linked markets · $117.2K gross
ferrariChampions20264 linked markets · $66.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Grizzlies@ 41.0¢17h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -29.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Thunder@ 61.0¢17h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +12.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Thunder@ 61.0¢17h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Grizzlies@ 40.0¢17h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Thunder UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $12.2K → $5.2K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thunder; negative values favor Grizzlies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThunder · $8.0K
6hGrizzlies · $34.2K
24hThunder · $31.6K

Thunder price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thunder price. Grizzlies fills are converted to the complementary Thunder probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h64.61¢▲ above by 35.4pp
VWAP 7d64.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Thunder price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$59.8K
90¢
$7.1K
85¢
$15.8K
80¢
$8.6K
75¢
$39
70¢
$1.9K
65¢
$3.2K
60¢
$449.8K
55¢
$149.1K
50¢
$3.4K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYThunder$13.7K@ 85.0¢
Zywoo1230xc44f…d49f
🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYThunder$59.8K@ 60.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 16 hours ago
SELLThunder$29.5K@ 59.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYGrizzlies$48.9K@ 41.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYGrizzlies$24.7K@ 41.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYGrizzlies$44.4K@ 40.0¢
BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYGrizzlies$62.0K@ 40.0¢
BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYThunder$61.0K@ 61.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYThunder$15.0K@ 60.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYThunder$15.0K@ 60.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYGrizzlies$40.1K@ 40.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYGrizzlies$23.0K@ 39.0¢
ch27er0x61a3…e508
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYThunder$19.6K@ 62.0¢
big8betz0xbfd4…526f
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYThunder$22.5K@ 60.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—1 day ago
BUYThunder$17.2K@ 59.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BreakTheBankGrizzlies$106.4K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·2 fills
mooseborzoiGrizzlies$76.4K
BUY VWAP 41.00¢·6 fills
surfandturfThunder$66.7K
BUY VWAP 60.91¢·2 fills
Sassy-BucketThunder$59.8K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
Lakersfan111Grizzlies$57.7K
BUY VWAP 39.86¢·3 fills
quavooThunder$50.4K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·14 fills
mooseborzoiThunder$39.8K
BUY VWAP 59.57¢·7 fills
ch27erGrizzlies$25.0K
BUY VWAP 39.06¢·2 fills
big8betzThunder$19.6K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
Zywoo123Thunder$13.7K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.