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LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $385.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.3MEvent: LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

36.5¢
LOS
63.5¢
LYON
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets36Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 26 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:341 trades$583.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LOS · $34.6K net·26 wallets(2🐋)·$96.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLYON$126.7K@ 76¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW LOS SETUP
What the tape says

LOS pressure: $79.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$79.3K
6h
+$11.2K
tracked
$583.3K

26 verified profitable wallets: LOS · $34.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 55

Since latest large flow: -3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LOS or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 00:55 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against LYON.

•This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against LOS.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 5 match between LOS and LYON in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against LYON. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against LOS. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 31, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 11h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1113 linked markets · $410.1K gross
0x549b…c0ae2 linked markets · $130.5K gross
Username21332 linked markets · $114.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY LOS1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY LOS@ 40.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +15.0pp1h CONFIRMED +37.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY LYON@ 76.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -11.0pp1h INVALIDATED -40.0pp
Latest book event: LYON UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $69 → $29 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LOS; negative values favor LYON. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLOS · $79.3K
6hLOS · $11.2K
24hLYON · $10.0K

LOS price VWAP

Volume-weighted LOS price. LYON fills are converted to the complementary LOS probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current36.5¢
VWAP 24h39.12¢▼ below by 2.6pp
VWAP 7d39.12¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LOS price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$10.1K
80¢
$5.8K
75¢
$9.5K
70¢
$2.8K
65¢
$2.8K
60¢
$21.2K
55¢
$99.4K
50¢
$19.6K
45¢
$9.7K
40¢
$7.7K
35¢
← now
$159.1K
30¢
$10.5K
25¢
$29.9K
20¢
$195.3K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLOS$18.0K@ 36.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—6 minutes ago
BUYLOS$36.0K@ 36.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋—7 minutes ago
BUYLOS$10.6K@ 59.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLOS$13.8K@ 56.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLOS$25.2K@ 56.0¢
vtcchampion520xc69b…2076
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLOS$23.2K@ 38.69¢
fhiwbijd0xb5a5…c668
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLOS$15.1K@ 37.77¢
fhiwbijd0xb5a5…c668
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLOS$15.1K@ 37.74¢
fhiwbijd0xb5a5…c668
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLOS$11.1K@ 37.02¢
fhiwbijd0xb5a5…c668
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLYON$126.7K@ 76.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLYON$12.1K@ 77.0¢
cs2.quant0xe0a4…a81e
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111LYON$136.3K
BUY VWAP 75.93¢·2 fills
fhiwbijdLOS$73.4K
BUY VWAP 37.82¢·6 fills
0xf201…527eLOS$45.5K
BUY VWAP 42.04¢·6 fills
zb8LOS$36.0K
BUY VWAP 36.0¢·1 fill
vtcchampion52LOS$25.2K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
0xe907…cff6LOS$14.3K
BUY VWAP 79.48¢·4 fills
HongweiqianLYON$13.7K
BUY VWAP 54.14¢·2 fills
cs2.quantLYON$12.1K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill
ameisgoat11LYON$11.2K
BUY VWAP 56.03¢·8 fills
0x2c33…0563LOS$10.6K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.