Mavericks vs. Celtics

● quote just now

Sports→BasketballCloses: 43 minutesLiquidity: $385.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $128.2KEvent: Mavericks vs. Celtics

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

12.5¢

Mavericks

87.5¢

Celtics

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:48 trades$53.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 17 min agoofficial metadata just now

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Celtics · $8.8K net·2 wallets·$8.8K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCeltics$10.0K@ 87¢·hewhodoesit

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

Celtics pressure: $7.5K net directional flow in 1h.

−$7.5K

−$42.0K

tracked

$53.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: Celtics · $8.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 17 minutes old.
•Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Celtics or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-15 23:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks".

•If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Mavericks and Celtics, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

quavoo3 linked markets · $46.3K gross

mooseborzoi5 linked markets · $43.3K gross

betabot2 linked markets · $42.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mavericks; negative values favor Celtics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hCeltics · $7.5K

6hCeltics · $42.0K

24hCeltics · $48.0K

Mavericks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mavericks price. Celtics fills are converted to the complementary Mavericks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current12.5¢

VWAP 24h13.1¢▼ below by 0.6pp

VWAP 7d13.1¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mavericks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢

50¢

45¢

40¢

35¢

30¢

25¢

20¢

15¢

$160

10¢

← now

$53.0K

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

BUYCeltics$10.0K@ 87.0¢

hewhodoesit0xf4f3…a1a1

🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Spread: Celtics (-13.5)

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Spread: Celtics (-12.5)

59.5¢$30.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5

45.5¢$20.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Celtics (-15.5)

47.5¢$7.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5

40.0¢$6.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5

—$3.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Celtics (-8.5)

—$3.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

hewhodoesitCeltics$10.0K

BUY VWAP 87.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.