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Spread: Celtics (-15.5)

Sports→BasketballCloses: 43 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $7.6KEvent: Mavericks vs. Celtics

Polymarket indicative prices · 7 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

47.5¢
Celtics
52.5¢
Mavericks
—
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection96Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%
24h sample:5 trades$693 trackedsource coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 47 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$667
6h
−$667
tracked
$693

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 47 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 16 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Mavericks and Celtics, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 16 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo3 linked markets · $46.3K gross
mooseborzoi5 linked markets · $43.3K gross
betabot2 linked markets · $42.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Celtics; negative values favor Mavericks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMavericks · $667
6hMavericks · $667
24hMavericks · $666

Celtics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Celtics price. Mavericks fills are converted to the complementary Celtics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h48.01¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d48.01¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Celtics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$693
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
51.5¢$524.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
55.5¢$231.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mavericks vs. Celtics
12.5¢$128.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
59.5¢$30.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
45.5¢$20.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5
40.0¢$6.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5
—$3.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
—$3.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.