PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Celtics (-13.5)

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 43 minutesLiquidity: $121.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $231.2KEvent: Mavericks vs. Celtics

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

55.5¢
Celtics
44.5¢
Mavericks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly70Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:43 trades$108.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 60 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Celtics · $6.3K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$31.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCeltics$14.4K@ 52¢·keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Celtics pressure: $2.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.2K
6h
+$39.3K
tracked
$108.0K

4 verified profitable wallets: Celtics · $6.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 60 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Celtics or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 14 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Mavericks and Celtics, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 14 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo3 linked markets · $46.3K gross
mooseborzoi5 linked markets · $43.3K gross
betabot2 linked markets · $42.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Celtics; negative values favor Mavericks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCeltics · $2.2K
6hCeltics · $39.3K
24hCeltics · $25.2K

Celtics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Celtics price. Mavericks fills are converted to the complementary Celtics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current55.5¢
VWAP 24h51.1¢▲ above by 4.4pp
VWAP 7d51.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Celtics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$2.2K
50¢
$79.9K
45¢
$25.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCeltics$14.4K@ 52.22¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
51.5¢$524.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mavericks vs. Celtics
12.5¢$128.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
59.5¢$30.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
45.5¢$20.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)
47.5¢$7.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5
40.0¢$6.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5
—$3.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
—$3.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

betabotCeltics$16.8K
BUY VWAP 51.48¢·3 fills
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCeltics$14.4K
BUY VWAP 52.22¢·1 fill
quavooMavericks$10.2K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.