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Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff

● quote 38s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $479.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $617.8KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Indicative prices · 38s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Thiago Agustin Tirante
99.95¢
Jan-Lennard Struff
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets69Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 18 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:215 trades$267.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jan-Lennard Struff · $55.1K net·18 wallets(2🐋)·$79.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLThiago Agustin Tirante$20.3K@ 49¢·999585

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Jan-Lennard Struff pressure: $24.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$24.9K
6h
−$60.2K
tracked
$267.0K

18 verified profitable wallets: Jan-Lennard Struff · $55.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jan-Lennard Struff or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf12f…b30f2 linked markets · $6.7K gross
0xd9c9…66863 linked markets · $3 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Jan-Lennard Struff@ 98.0¢26m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Thiago Agustin Tirante@ 70.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -30.0pp1h INVALIDATED -38.0pp
Latest book event: Jan-Lennard Struff UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $82.6K → $1.8K · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thiago Agustin Tirante; negative values favor Jan-Lennard Struff. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJan-Lennard Struff · $24.9K
6hJan-Lennard Struff · $60.2K
24hJan-Lennard Struff · $83.2K

Thiago Agustin Tirante price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thiago Agustin Tirante price. Jan-Lennard Struff fills are converted to the complementary Thiago Agustin Tirante probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h35.82¢▼ below by 35.8pp
VWAP 7d35.82¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Thiago Agustin Tirante price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$5.1K
70¢
$14.0K
65¢
$9.2K
60¢
$18.4K
55¢
$2.8K
50¢
$13.7K
45¢
$47.3K
40¢
$14.7K
35¢
$12.8K
30¢
$53.1K
25¢
$4.1K
20¢
$13
15¢
$7.1K
10¢
$7.0K
5¢
$27.1K
0¢
← now
$30.5K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJan-Lennard Struff$14.5K@ 99.9¢
Kunkun1110xcb56…ebd9
🐋—22 minutes ago
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$19.5K@ 93.0¢
9995850x88a6…7e77
🐋—30 minutes ago
SELLThiago Agustin Tirante$20.3K@ 49.0¢
9995850x88a6…7e77
🐋—35 minutes ago
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$13.9K@ 67.37¢0x02fd…104c🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$12.1K@ 69.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Jan-Lennard Struff$22.6K
BUY VWAP 68.66¢·3 fills
999585Jan-Lennard Struff$19.5K
BUY VWAP 93.0¢·1 fill
MadridTimeJan-Lennard Struff$18.3K
BUY VWAP 40.00¢·4 fills
0x02fd…104cJan-Lennard Struff$13.9K
BUY VWAP 67.37¢·1 fill
redvinnyThiago Agustin Tirante$12.0K
BUY VWAP 64.33¢·6 fills
redvinnyJan-Lennard Struff$10.1K
BUY VWAP 82.28¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.