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Dota 2: HULIGANI vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $292.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $206.8KEvent: Dota 2: HULIGANI vs PuckChamp (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B

Polymarket indicative prices · 14 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
HULIGANI
0.05¢
PuckChamp
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection29Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets46Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:132 trades$61.9K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:HULIGANI · $12.6K net·13 wallets·$27.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHULIGANI$6.9K@ 81¢·0xf3ce…a57a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

PuckChamp pressure: $18.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$18.0K
6h
+$1.8K
tracked
$61.9K

13 verified profitable wallets: HULIGANI · $12.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +15.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 15.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from PuckChamp or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 19:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win Game 1 against PuckChamp.

•This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win Game 1 against HULIGANI.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between HULIGANI and PuckChamp in the DreamLeague Division 2 Group B, initially scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win Game 1 against PuckChamp. This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win Game 1 against HULIGANI. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 6, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 1h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $2.0K gross
0x86b6…a1272 linked markets · $908 gross
0x6288…fd462 linked markets · $497 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY HULIGANI@ 85.0¢58m ago
15m INVALIDATED -68.0pp
Latest book event: PuckChamp DOWN 11.5pp · near-book depth $18 → $47 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor HULIGANI; negative values favor PuckChamp. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPuckChamp · $18.0K
6hHULIGANI · $1.8K
24hHULIGANI · $1.8K

HULIGANI price VWAP

Volume-weighted HULIGANI price. PuckChamp fills are converted to the complementary HULIGANI probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h82.78¢▲ above by 17.2pp
VWAP 7d82.78¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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HULIGANI price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$27.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.6K
80¢
$12.8K
75¢
$8.8K
70¢
$737
65¢
$22
60¢
$1.9K
55¢
$1.6K
50¢
$2.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$258
35¢
$34
30¢
$0
25¢
$4.1K
20¢
$123
15¢
$127
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf3ce…a57aHULIGANI$19.3K
BUY VWAP 80.63¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.