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Dota 2: HULIGANI vs PuckChamp (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $22.4KEvent: Dota 2: HULIGANI vs PuckChamp (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

92.6¢
HULIGANI
7.4¢
PuckChamp
1.8¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution38Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:32 trades$1.1K trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:PuckChamp · $301 net·3 wallets·$301 gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$61
6h
+$130
tracked
$1.1K

3 verified profitable wallets: PuckChamp · $301 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.8¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 35 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 19:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win the match against PuckChamp.

•This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win the match against HULIGANI.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between HULIGANI and PuckChamp in the DreamLeague Division 2 Group B, initially scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win the match against PuckChamp. This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win the match against HULIGANI. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 6, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf3ce…a57a2 linked markets · $22.8K gross
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $2.0K gross
0x86b6…a1272 linked markets · $908 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: HULIGANI UP 12.0pp · near-book depth $241 → $492 · 50s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor HULIGANI; negative values favor PuckChamp. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPuckChamp · $61
6hHULIGANI · $130
24hPuckChamp · $461

HULIGANI price VWAP

Volume-weighted HULIGANI price. PuckChamp fills are converted to the complementary HULIGANI probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current92.6¢
VWAP 24h79.04¢▲ above by 13.6pp
VWAP 7d79.78¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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HULIGANI price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$262
90¢
← now
$566
85¢
$245
80¢
$729
75¢
$155
70¢
$55
65¢
$0
60¢
$40
55¢
$110
50¢
$120
45¢
$3
40¢
$123
35¢
$0
30¢
$63
25¢
$7
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$5
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.