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Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud

Sports→TennisSettlement: Casper RuudLiquidity: $229.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $697.6KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
0.0¢
Jan-Lennard Struff payout
100.0¢
Casper Ruud payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Casper Ruud · $173.6K net·10 wallets(3🐋)·$190.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCasper Ruud$38.2K@ 96¢·999585

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Casper Ruud. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-12 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Casper Ruud in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Piteriban2 linked markets · $5.5K gross
DrSlips2 linked markets · $450 gross
0xbf2b…fb882 linked markets · $389 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Casper Ruud@ 96.3¢1d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Casper Ruud@ 97.0¢1d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Casper Ruud@ 96.0¢1d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Casper Ruud1d ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jan-Lennard Struff; negative values favor Casper Ruud. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJan-Lennard Struff · $6.5K
6hCasper Ruud · $175.5K
24hCasper Ruud · $176.4K

Jan-Lennard Struff price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jan-Lennard Struff price. Casper Ruud fills are converted to the complementary Jan-Lennard Struff probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h13.74¢▼ below by 13.7pp
VWAP 7d13.74¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jan-Lennard Struff price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$2.1K
30¢
$75.7K
25¢
$2.7K
20¢
$10.6K
15¢
$67.7K
10¢
$11.1K
5¢
$55
0¢
← now
$158.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCasper Ruud$13.8K@ 97.9¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—1 day ago
BUYCasper Ruud$15.2K@ 97.0¢
dmoralez0x492b…45ee
🐋—1 day ago
BUYCasper Ruud$16.8K@ 96.2¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—1 day ago
BUYCasper Ruud$38.2K@ 96.0¢
9995850x88a6…7e77
🐋—1 day ago
BUYCasper Ruud$29.7K@ 85.0¢
9995850x88a6…7e77
🐋—1 day ago
BUYCasper Ruud$13.0K@ 68.46¢
name-no-name0x14e7…bb64
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

999585Casper Ruud$83.8K
BUY VWAP 89.57¢·4 fills
dmoralezCasper Ruud$42.9K
BUY VWAP 97.39¢·9 fills
FlaznorpCasper Ruud$36.5K
BUY VWAP 95.74¢·5 fills
LightParadoxCasper Ruud$14.4K
BUY VWAP 86.84¢·5 fills
redvinnyCasper Ruud$14.0K
BUY VWAP 81.22¢·7 fills
name-no-nameCasper Ruud$13.0K
BUY VWAP 68.46¢·1 fill
maz26Casper Ruud$12.4K
BUY VWAP 66.22¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.