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Spread: Lakers (-2.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: LakersLiquidity: $113.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $81.8KEvent: Trail Blazers vs. Lakers
100.0¢
Lakers payout
0.0¢
Trail Blazers payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:20 trades$20.5K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 749 min agoofficial metadata 713 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Trail Blazers · $1.5K net·7 wallets·$15.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTrail Blazers$6.1K@ 47¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lakers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-07 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Lakers" if the Lakers win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Trail Blazers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Trail Blazers and Lakers, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Lakers" if the Lakers win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 12h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 12h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x1bc3…dc6e5 linked markets · $37.3K gross
jtwyslljy2 linked markets · $35.5K gross
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $31.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Lakers UP 4.9pp · near-book depth $224 → $482 · 44s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lakers; negative values favor Trail Blazers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLakers · $3.6K
6hTrail Blazers · $1.1K
24hLakers · $73

Lakers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lakers price. Trail Blazers fills are converted to the complementary Lakers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h58.1¢▲ above by 41.9pp
VWAP 7d58.09¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lakers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$3.5K
85¢
$88
80¢
$0
75¢
$28
70¢
$2
65¢
$3
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$21.8K
45¢
$10
40¢
$103
35¢
$34
30¢
$9
25¢
$0
20¢
$150
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.