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Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: LakersLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $8.0KEvent: Trail Blazers vs. Lakers
0.0¢
Trail Blazers payout
100.0¢
Lakers payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:57 trades$254 trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1118 min agoofficial metadata 1001 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lakers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-07 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Trail Blazers" if the Trail Blazers win the game by 11 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lakers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Trail Blazers and Lakers, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Trail Blazers" if the Trail Blazers win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lakers". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 17h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 17h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x1bc3…dc6e5 linked markets · $37.3K gross
jtwyslljy2 linked markets · $35.5K gross
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $31.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Trail Blazers; negative values favor Lakers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTrail Blazers · $0
6hLakers · $124
24hLakers · $124

Trail Blazers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Trail Blazers price. Lakers fills are converted to the complementary Trail Blazers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h20.77¢▼ below by 20.8pp
VWAP 7d20.77¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Trail Blazers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1
20¢
$253
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.