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Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeSettlement: TheMongolzLiquidity: $1.3MOfficial 24h Vol: $720.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
100.0¢
TheMongolz payout
0.0¢
Natus Vincere payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:384 trades$238.9K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 628 min agoofficial metadata 574 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Natus Vincere · $8.3K net·22 wallets·$71.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNatus Vincere$10.0K@ 70¢·fantasy7788

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome TheMongolz. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-07 12:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 1 against Natus Vincere.

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 1 against TheMongolz.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between TheMongolz and Natus Vincere in the IEM Beijing Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 1:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 1 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 1 against TheMongolz. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 7, 2026 at 1:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 10h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 10h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fantasy77884 linked markets · $171.6K gross
0x1610…ae492 linked markets · $67.6K gross
0xheavy8883 linked markets · $37.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Natus Vincere@ 73.0¢11h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Natus Vincere DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $20 → $37 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor TheMongolz; negative values favor Natus Vincere. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNatus Vincere · $36.9K
6hNatus Vincere · $58.1K
24hNatus Vincere · $58.7K

TheMongolz price VWAP

Volume-weighted TheMongolz price. Natus Vincere fills are converted to the complementary TheMongolz probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h54.75¢▲ above by 45.3pp
VWAP 7d54.75¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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TheMongolz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$30.9K
90¢
$0
85¢
$14.7K
80¢
$0
75¢
$1.4K
70¢
$6.3K
65¢
$2.4K
60¢
$18.2K
55¢
$16.7K
50¢
$16.8K
45¢
$38.4K
40¢
$25.1K
35¢
$10.0K
30¢
$49.7K
25¢
$1.9K
20¢
$6.4K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNatus Vincere$10.0K@ 69.76¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

black-rabbitNatus Vincere$11.1K
BUY VWAP 56.65¢·6 fills
0x4214…db99Natus Vincere$11.0K
BUY VWAP 68.46¢·3 fills
0xheavy888Natus Vincere$10.5K
BUY VWAP 53.13¢·7 fills
fantasy7788Natus Vincere$10.0K
BUY VWAP 69.76¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.