PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Set 1 Winner: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton

● quote 127 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $11.8KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton

Indicative prices · 127 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

31.5¢
Luca Van Assche
68.5¢
Ben Shelton
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution49Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:4 trades$3.9K trackedsource coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 15s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLuca Van Assche$2.0K@ 95¢·Paul973973

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$110
6h
+$110
tracked
$3.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: Luca Van Assche · $2.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 127 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-14 13:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Luca Van Assche” if Luca Van Assche wins the first set. It will resolve to “Ben Shelton” if Ben Shelton wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Ben Shelton in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Luca Van Assche” if Luca Van Assche wins the first set. It will resolve to “Ben Shelton” if Ben Shelton wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf12f…b30f2 linked markets · $6.5K gross
Paul9739732 linked markets · $4.0K gross
erhher2 linked markets · $3.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Luca Van Assche; negative values favor Ben Shelton. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLuca Van Assche · $110
6hLuca Van Assche · $110
24hLuca Van Assche · $110

Luca Van Assche price VWAP

Volume-weighted Luca Van Assche price. Ben Shelton fills are converted to the complementary Luca Van Assche probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current31.5¢
VWAP 24h95.35¢▼ below by 63.9pp
VWAP 7d95.35¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Luca Van Assche price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$3.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$0
25¢
$110
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton
27.5¢$658.6Kpriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Ben Shelton (-1.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+1.5)
0.05¢$9.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Ben Shelton (-3.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+3.5)
30.5¢$8.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton
38.0¢$5.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Assche vs. Shelton: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢$2.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Assche vs. Shelton: Match O/U 23.5
82.0¢$764priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Luca Van Assche vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5
62.5¢$107priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Assche vs. Shelton: Match O/U 21.5
50.0¢$12priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.