Indicative prices · 205 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.
Data confidence 51% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Carlos Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins by 2 or more sets than Casper Ruud, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Casper Ruud."
•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Carlos Alcaraz can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Casper Ruud."
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Carlos Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins by 2 or more sets than Casper Ruud, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Casper Ruud." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Carlos Alcaraz can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Casper Ruud." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Carlos Alcaraz price VWAP
Largest holders
Carlos Alcaraz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
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Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.