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Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Philip Henning

Sports→TennisSettlement: Philip HenningLiquidity: $751.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $603.7KEvent: Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Philip Henning
0.0¢
Francesco Maestrelli payout
100.0¢
Philip Henning payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:211 trades$242.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philip Henning · $13.2K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$58.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFrancesco Maestrelli$26.7K@ 85¢·fkcvffcjt

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Philip Henning. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-21 09:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Philip Henning in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Philip Henning. This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Francesco Maestrelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Francesco Maestrelli1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Francesco Maestrelli1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Francesco Maestrelli@ 41.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +45.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPSELL Francesco Maestrelli@ 40.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -47.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Philip Henning UP 9.5pp · near-book depth $1.4K → $77.5K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Francesco Maestrelli; negative values favor Philip Henning. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFrancesco Maestrelli · $5.5K
6hPhilip Henning · $13.1K
24hPhilip Henning · $12.9K

Francesco Maestrelli price VWAP

Volume-weighted Francesco Maestrelli price. Philip Henning fills are converted to the complementary Francesco Maestrelli probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h59.78¢▼ below by 59.8pp
VWAP 7d59.78¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Francesco Maestrelli price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$55
85¢
$64.0K
80¢
$8.3K
75¢
$3.9K
70¢
$5.7K
65¢
$0
60¢
$3
55¢
$39.3K
50¢
$52.9K
45¢
$44.7K
40¢
$2.8K
35¢
$0
30¢
$6.2K
25¢
$783
20¢
$4.7K
15¢
$241
10¢
$82
5¢
$3.2K
0¢
← now
$5.5K

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFrancesco Maestrelli$12.0K@ 50.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLFrancesco Maestrelli$12.1K@ 87.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLFrancesco Maestrelli$10.2K@ 49.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLFrancesco Maestrelli$13.2K@ 54.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFrancesco Maestrelli$21.7K@ 85.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFrancesco Maestrelli$26.7K@ 85.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLFrancesco Maestrelli$20.4K@ 55.1¢
Vps10xb2d2…3910
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFrancesco Maestrelli$11.1K@ 48.97¢
Vps10xb2d2…3910
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtFrancesco Maestrelli$48.4K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·2 fills
WoaifacaiFrancesco Maestrelli$21.2K
BUY VWAP 51.46¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Philip Henning$17.3K
BUY VWAP 51.85¢·2 fills
Vps1Francesco Maestrelli$11.4K
BUY VWAP 48.91¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.