1234ab
0x5f8ec8b9c07547d93ac7206ef75c1b625e6021b7
$-70072
Real PnL
-81.2%
ROI
$115.7K
Volume
$86.3K
Invested
98.4%
YES Bias
611
Trades (DB)
1/9
Markets Won
whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:15 markets·current value $229.3K·30 closed
PnL by Market (45)15 open30 closed
● open Yes · $150.6Kin $62.1Kout $1.9Kunreal +$1.7K
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
● open No · $58.0Kin $14.9Kout $1.4Kunreal +$1.4K
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
● open No · $4.3Kin $943out $11.2Kunreal +$24
● open Yes · $2.3Kin $897out $1unreal $-1711
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
● open Yes · $2.3Kin $2.4Kout $128unreal +$37
● open Yes · $3.2Kin $2.2Kout $1.2Kunreal $-751
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
● open Yes · $4.8Kin $1.8Kunreal +$66
● open Yes · $999in $398out $7unreal $-339
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
● open Yes · $219in $180unreal +$12
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
● open No · $2.4Kin $177unreal +$29
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?
● open Yes · $41in $85out $24unreal $-6
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
● open Yes · $49in $52unreal $-14
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
● open Yes · $26in $19unreal $-1
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
● open Yes · $54in $31unreal +$12
Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?
● open Yes · $13in $85out $70unreal $-2
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Frankenstein win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will One Battle After Another win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Sinners win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Sirāt win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Sentimental Value win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?
● closed
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?
● closed
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?
● closed
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
● closed
● closed
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closed
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? ●open Yes· $150.6K | $62.1K | $1.9K | +$1.7K | 85 | $-58569 |
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? ●open No· $58.0K | $14.9K | $1.4K | +$1.4K | 22 | $-12210 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? ●open No· $4.3K | $943 | $11.2K | +$24 | 13 | +$10.2K |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? ●open Yes· $2.3K | $897 | $1 | $-1711 | 75 | $-2606 |
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? ●open Yes· $2.3K | $2.4K | $128 | +$37 | 20 | $-2217 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? ●open Yes· $3.2K | $2.2K | $1.2K | $-751 | 81 | $-1776 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? ●open Yes· $4.8K | $1.8K | $0 | +$66 | 20 | $-1704 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? ●open Yes· $999 | $398 | $7 | $-339 | 75 | $-730 |
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? ●open Yes· $219 | $180 | $0 | +$12 | 5 | $-168 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? ●open No· $2.4K | $177 | $0 | +$29 | 1 | $-148 |
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026? ●open Yes· $41 | $85 | $24 | $-6 | 27 | $-68 |
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? ●open Yes· $49 | $52 | $0 | $-14 | 5 | $-65 |
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? ●open Yes· $26 | $19 | $0 | $-1 | 4 | $-20 |
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? ●open Yes· $54 | $31 | $0 | +$12 | 5 | $-19 |
Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026? ●open Yes· $13 | $85 | $70 | $-2 | 5 | $-17 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Frankenstein win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Sinners win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Sirāt win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Sentimental Value win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (20)
YES$1@ 0.5¢Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?about 6 hours ago
YES$2@ 1.1¢Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?about 6 hours ago
Trading Activity · 90d
7 active days
Category Accuracy
Finance
$65.6K0%0/4
Entry Timing Before Resolution
>7d
611 betsunresolved0/0
+591
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