Erasmus.

0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784

$-776193

Real PnL

-61.7%

ROI

$105.8K

Volume

$1.3M

Invested

20.0%

YES Bias

Trades (DB)

9/16

Markets Won

whale40Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h

Open positions:17 markets·current value $1.3M·8 closed

PnL by Market (25)17 open8 closed

Netanyahu out by March 31?

$-293874

● open No · $333.7Kin $362.1Kout $49.6Kunreal +$18.6K

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$-287607

● open No · $367.7Kin $319.1Kunreal +$31.5K

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$-261935

● open No · $368.8Kin $315.4Kunreal +$53.4K

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

+$52.5K

● open No · $3.2Kin $200out $54.3Kunreal $-1599

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

$-45210

● open No · $55.6Kin $50.4Kunreal +$5.2K

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

+$17.5K

● open No · $7.6Kin $2.0Kout $13.5Kunreal +$5.9K

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

$-13603

● open Yes · $9.9Kin $11.8Kunreal $-1828

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$-12865

● open No · $44.6Kin $23.2Kunreal +$10.4K

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

+$12.8K

● open No · $1.1Kout $12.8Kunreal +$29

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$-8996

● open No · $38.6Kin $103.8Kout $86.1Kunreal +$8.6K

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

$-8385

● open Yes · $6.8Kin $7.6Kunreal $-790

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

$-6317

● open Yes · $6.3Kin $6.3Kunreal $-6

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

$-5750

● open No · $3.6Kin $9.5Kout $4.6Kunreal $-767

Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?

$-1856

● open No · $2.2Kin $2.0Kunreal +$148

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

$-1018

● open Yes · $0in $3.0Kout $2.6Kunreal $-626

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

$-649

● open No · $668in $3.3Kout $2.5Kunreal +$188

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

$-123

● open Yes · $88in $106unreal $-18

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

+$57.4K

● closedout $57.4K

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

+$17.1K

● closedout $17.1K

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

+$11.0K

● closedout $11.0K

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

+$3.9K

● closedin $30.5Kout $34.4K

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

$-446

● closedin $2.3Kout $1.9K

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

+$425

● closedin $961out $1.4K

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

$-391

● closedin $5.1Kout $4.7K

Kristi Noem out by March 31?

+$311

● closedin $277out $589

Market	Invested	Received	Unrealized	Trades	PnL
Netanyahu out by March 31? ●open No· $333.7K	$362.1K	$49.6K	+$18.6K	191	$-293874
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ●open No· $367.7K	$319.1K	$0	+$31.5K	3	$-287607
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ●open No· $368.8K	$315.4K	$0	+$53.4K	4	$-261935
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? ●open No· $3.2K	$200	$54.3K	$-1599	216	+$52.5K
US forces enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $55.6K	$50.4K	$0	+$5.2K	2	$-45210
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? ●open No· $7.6K	$2.0K	$13.5K	+$5.9K	3	+$17.5K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? ●open Yes· $9.9K	$11.8K	$0	$-1828	7	$-13603
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ●open No· $44.6K	$23.2K	$0	+$10.4K	3	$-12865
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? ●open No· $1.1K	$0	$12.8K	+$29	5	+$12.8K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ●open No· $38.6K	$103.8K	$86.1K	+$8.6K	4	$-8996
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? ●open Yes· $6.8K	$7.6K	$0	$-790	3	$-8385
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? ●open Yes· $6.3K	$6.3K	$0	$-6	3	$-6317
US forces enter Iran by April 30? ●open No· $3.6K	$9.5K	$4.6K	$-767	4	$-5750
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? ●open No· $2.2K	$2.0K	$0	+$148	1	$-1856
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? ●open Yes· $0	$3.0K	$2.6K	$-626	3	$-1018
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? ●open No· $668	$3.3K	$2.5K	+$188	2	$-649
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? ●open Yes· $88	$106	$0	$-18	1	$-123
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed	$0	$57.4K	—	1	+$57.4K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ● closed	$0	$17.1K	—	1	+$17.1K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ● closed	$0	$11.0K	—	6	+$11.0K
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ● closed	$30.5K	$34.4K	—	8	+$3.9K
Will Trump visit China by April 30? ● closed	$2.3K	$1.9K	—	2	$-446
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? ● closed	$961	$1.4K	—	2	+$425
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? ● closed	$5.1K	$4.7K	—	4	$-391
Kristi Noem out by March 31? ● closed	$277	$589	—	1	+$311