aff3
0xe52c0a1327a12edc7bd54ea6f37ce00a4ca96924
$-211777
Real PnL
-9.0%
ROI
$158.7K
Volume
$2.3M
Invested
33.3%
YES Bias
3
Trades (DB)
59/65
Markets Won
whale67Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:7 markets·current value $522.9K·62 closed
PnL by Market (69)7 open62 closed
● open No · $377.2Kin $356.1Kunreal +$21.2K
● open No · $76.8Kin $241.0Kout $169.2Kunreal +$2.1K
● open Yes · $30.1Kin $30.2Kunreal $-72
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
● open Yes · $23.3Kin $24.9Kout $857unreal $-724
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
● open Yes · $5.5Kin $7.5Kout $967unreal $-959
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
● open No · $6.3Kin $6.1Kunreal +$153
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
● open No · $3.7Kin $3.3Kunreal +$418
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
● closedout $113.7K
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
● closedout $63.7K
● closedin $149.1Kout $165.2K
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
● closedin $19.0Kout $5.0K
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
● closedin $213.2Kout $225.2K
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?
● closedout $9.3K
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
● closedout $9.2K
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
● closedout $5.3K
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
● closedin $38.8Kout $42.3K
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
● closedin $81.9Kout $85.3K
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?
● closedin $4.3Kout $890
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
● closedin $10.5Kout $13.8K
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?
● closedin $29.6Kout $32.9K
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?
● closedin $18.8Kout $21.9K
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
● closedin $272.8Kout $275.8K
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
● closedin $26.7Kout $29.6K
Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
● closedin $2.3Kout $5.1K
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
● closedin $75.5Kout $77.9K
Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?
● closedin $12.5Kout $14.7K
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
● closedin $81.4Kout $83.6K
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
● closedin $30.0Kout $32.2K
Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?
● closedout $2.0K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
● closedin $52.1Kout $54.1K
● closedin $27.2Kout $28.4K
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
● closedin $45.8Kout $47.0K
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
● closedin $1.1Kout $2.2K
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
● closedin $12.6Kout $11.4K
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
● closedin $8.1Kout $9.1K
Will Mozambique win on 2026-01-05?
● closedin $9.5Kout $10.2K
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?
● closedin $3.1Kout $3.8K
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
● closedin $10.4Kout $11.0K
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
● closedin $13.4Kout $14.0K
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
● closedin $54.7Kout $55.2K
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
● closedin $8.6Kout $9.2K
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
● closedin $53.5Kout $54.1K
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-23?
● closedin $7.4Kout $7.9K
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?
● closedin $7.1Kout $7.5K
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?
● closedin $8.2Kout $8.7K
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
● closedin $41.1Kout $41.4K
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?
● closedin $2.9Kout $3.3K
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
● closedin $15.1Kout $15.5K
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
● closedin $11.1Kout $11.4K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
● closedin $5.4Kout $5.7K
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?
● closedin $8.1Kout $8.3K
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
● closedin $129.3Kout $129.6K
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
● closedin $8.0Kout $8.2K
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
● closedin $2.2Kout $2.4K
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?
● closedin $6.0Kout $6.2K
Will People's Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?
● closedin $3.9Kout $4.2K
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
● closedin $6.1Kout $6.4K
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
● closedin $2.0Kout $2.3K
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
● closedin $9.1Kout $9.3K
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?
● closedin $4.1Kout $4.3K
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
● closedin $2.9Kout $3.1K
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
● closedin $479out $631
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 0–10%?
● closedin $10.5Kout $10.6K
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?
● closedin $2.0Kout $2.0K
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
● closedin $143out $221
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
● closedin $998out $1.1K
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
● closedin $1.8Kout $1.8K
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
● closedin $1.0Kout $1.0K
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-02?
● closedin $8.0Kout $8.0K
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ●open No· $377.2K | $356.1K | $0 | +$21.2K | 17 | $-334904 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ●open No· $76.8K | $241.0K | $169.2K | +$2.1K | 102 | $-69744 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? ●open Yes· $30.1K | $30.2K | $0 | $-72 | 2 | $-30269 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? ●open Yes· $23.3K | $24.9K | $857 | $-724 | 12 | $-24766 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? ●open Yes· $5.5K | $7.5K | $967 | $-959 | 2 | $-7521 |
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? ●open No· $6.3K | $6.1K | $0 | +$153 | 1 | $-5990 |
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? ●open No· $3.7K | $3.3K | $0 | +$418 | 1 | $-2907 |
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? ● closed | $0 | $113.7K | — | 0 | +$113.7K |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? ● closed | $0 | $63.7K | — | 0 | +$63.7K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $149.1K | $165.2K | — | 5 | +$16.1K |
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner ● closed | $19.0K | $5.0K | — | 28 | $-13939 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? ● closed | $213.2K | $225.2K | — | 40 | +$12.0K |
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025? ● closed | $0 | $9.3K | — | 0 | +$9.3K |
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? ● closed | $0 | $9.2K | — | 0 | +$9.2K |
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? ● closed | $0 | $5.3K | — | 0 | +$5.3K |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? ● closed | $38.8K | $42.3K | — | 4 | +$3.5K |
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? ● closed | $81.9K | $85.3K | — | 1 | +$3.4K |
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? ● closed | $4.3K | $890 | — | 14 | $-3361 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? ● closed | $10.5K | $13.8K | — | 1 | +$3.3K |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23? ● closed | $29.6K | $32.9K | — | 2 | +$3.3K |
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17? ● closed | $18.8K | $21.9K | — | 1 | +$3.1K |
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? ● closed | $272.8K | $275.8K | — | 9 | +$3.0K |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? ● closed | $26.7K | $29.6K | — | 2 | +$2.9K |
Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? ● closed | $2.3K | $5.1K | — | 36 | +$2.8K |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $75.5K | $77.9K | — | 6 | +$2.4K |
Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026? ● closed | $12.5K | $14.7K | — | 1 | +$2.3K |
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? ● closed | $81.4K | $83.6K | — | 2 | +$2.2K |
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? ● closed | $30.0K | $32.2K | — | 4 | +$2.2K |
Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025? ● closed | $0 | $2.0K | — | 0 | +$2.0K |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? ● closed | $52.1K | $54.1K | — | 3 | +$2.0K |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27? ● closed | $27.2K | $28.4K | — | 12 | +$1.2K |
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? ● closed | $45.8K | $47.0K | — | 2 | +$1.2K |
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? ● closed | $1.1K | $2.2K | — | 24 | +$1.2K |
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? ● closed | $12.6K | $11.4K | — | 6 | $-1148 |
Maduro mugshot released by Monday? ● closed | $8.1K | $9.1K | — | 1 | +$1.0K |
Will Mozambique win on 2026-01-05? ● closed | $9.5K | $10.2K | — | 1 | +$712 |
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06? ● closed | $3.1K | $3.8K | — | 3 | +$683 |
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026? ● closed | $10.4K | $11.0K | — | 2 | +$633 |
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? ● closed | $13.4K | $14.0K | — | 1 | +$560 |
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? ● closed | $54.7K | $55.2K | — | 1 | +$553 |
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? ● closed | $8.6K | $9.2K | — | 1 | +$551 |
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? ● closed | $53.5K | $54.1K | — | 1 | +$545 |
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-23? ● closed | $7.4K | $7.9K | — | 7 | +$543 |
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6? ● closed | $7.1K | $7.5K | — | 2 | +$452 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? ● closed | $8.2K | $8.7K | — | 3 | +$451 |
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? ● closed | $41.1K | $41.4K | — | 1 | +$393 |
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January? ● closed | $2.9K | $3.3K | — | 4 | +$377 |
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026? ● closed | $15.1K | $15.5K | — | 3 | +$368 |
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? ● closed | $11.1K | $11.4K | — | 1 | +$353 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? ● closed | $5.4K | $5.7K | — | 2 | +$297 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9? ● closed | $8.1K | $8.3K | — | 1 | +$280 |
Maduro out by January 31, 2026? ● closed | $129.3K | $129.6K | — | 3 | +$259 |
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? ● closed | $8.0K | $8.2K | — | 1 | +$254 |
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? ● closed | $2.2K | $2.4K | — | 1 | +$251 |
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026? ● closed | $6.0K | $6.2K | — | 1 | +$249 |
Will People's Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election? ● closed | $3.9K | $4.2K | — | 1 | +$242 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday? ● closed | $6.1K | $6.4K | — | 1 | +$236 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $2.0K | $2.3K | — | 4 | +$233 |
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? ● closed | $9.1K | $9.3K | — | 1 | +$202 |
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5? ● closed | $4.1K | $4.3K | — | 1 | +$177 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? ● closed | $2.9K | $3.1K | — | 36 | +$172 |
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? ● closed | $479 | $631 | — | 5 | +$152 |
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 0–10%? ● closed | $10.5K | $10.6K | — | 2 | +$149 |
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4? ● closed | $2.0K | $2.0K | — | 2 | +$84 |
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote? ● closed | $143 | $221 | — | 2 | +$77 |
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote? ● closed | $998 | $1.1K | — | 2 | +$53 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $1.8K | $1.8K | — | 2 | +$36 |
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? ● closed | $1.0K | $1.0K | — | 1 | +$12 |
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-02? ● closed | $8.0K | $8.0K | — | 1 | +$8 |
Recent Trades (3)
Trading Activity · 90d
3 active days
Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$597.0K0%0/1
Sports
$30.2K—0/0
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
1 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
2 betsunresolved0/0
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