0xf7e52b297d49b08d9d566057c1adcb72622ef6fc
$-1325
Real PnL
-24.3%
ROI
$93
Volume
$5.5K
Invested
100.0%
YES Bias
5
Trades (DB)
15/74
Markets Won
whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:2 markets·current value $0·78 closed
PnL by Market (80)2 open78 closed
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
● open Yes · $0in $49out $40unreal $-0
● open Yes · $0in $36out $37unreal $-1
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?
● closedin $1.3Kout $107
● closedin $459out $907
● closedin $600out $345
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
● closedin $322out $184
● closedin $105out $38
● closedin $441out $377
● closedin $649out $705
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
● closedin $138out $100
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
● closedin $15
● closedin $20out $6
● closedin $105out $120
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
● closedin $175out $185
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
● closedin $49out $39
● closedin $159out $168
● closedin $60out $51
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
● closedin $27out $17
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?
● closedin $15out $8
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
● closedin $33out $27
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?
● closedin $7out $0
● closedin $110out $104
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
● closedin $31out $26
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
● closedin $17out $12
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
● closedin $25out $20
● closedin $45out $41
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Monday press conference?
● closedin $4
● closedin $39out $43
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
● closedin $11out $9
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?
● closedin $16out $13
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
● closedin $3
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?
● closedin $46out $44
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 31?
● closedin $13out $11
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
● closedin $5out $3
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
● closedin $15out $13
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
● closedin $1out $3
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
● closedin $15out $13
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
● closedin $48out $47
● closedin $20out $19
● closedin $11out $9
● closedin $11out $9
● closedin $103out $102
● closedin $39out $38
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closedin $3out $2
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
● closedin $2out $1
● closedin $10out $9
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
● closedin $5out $4
● closedin $1out $0
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
● closedin $10out $9
● closedin $1out $0
● closedin $1out $2
● closedin $1out $1
● closedin $6out $6
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
● closedin $5out $5
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
● closedin $1out $1
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
● closedin $1out $1
● closedin $20out $20
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
● closedin $2out $2
● closedin $1out $1
● closedin $1out $1
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
● closedin $1out $1
● closedin $1out $1
Iran leadership change by April 30?
● closedin $4out $4
● closedin $2out $1
● closedin $1out $1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
● closedout $0
● closedin $1out $1
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
● closedin $1out $1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
● closedin $1out $1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
● closedin $1out $1
● closedin $1out $1
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
● closedin $1out $1
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
● closedin $1out $1
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
● closedin $1out $1
● closedin $1out $1
● closedin $1out $1
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
● closedin $5out $5
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?
● closed
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?
● closed
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
● closed
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? ●open Yes· $0 | $49 | $40 | $-0 | 7 | $-9 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? ●open Yes· $0 | $36 | $37 | $-1 | 10 | +$0 |
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8? ● closed | $1.3K | $107 | — | 15 | $-1156 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $459 | $907 | — | 37 | +$447 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $600 | $345 | — | 32 | $-255 |
US forces enter Iran by March 14? ● closed | $322 | $184 | — | 34 | $-138 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $105 | $38 | — | 17 | $-67 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ● closed | $441 | $377 | — | 17 | $-64 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? ● closed | $649 | $705 | — | 50 | +$55 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? ● closed | $138 | $100 | — | 12 | $-38 |
US forces enter Iran by March 7? ● closed | $15 | $0 | — | 4 | $-15 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $20 | $6 | — | 6 | $-14 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? ● closed | $105 | $120 | — | 21 | +$14 |
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? ● closed | $175 | $185 | — | 15 | +$10 |
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? ● closed | $49 | $39 | — | 6 | $-10 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? ● closed | $159 | $168 | — | 12 | +$10 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ● closed | $60 | $51 | — | 8 | $-10 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? ● closed | $27 | $17 | — | 5 | $-10 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division? ● closed | $15 | $8 | — | 4 | $-7 |
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $33 | $27 | — | 7 | $-6 |
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026? ● closed | $7 | $0 | — | 2 | $-6 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? ● closed | $110 | $104 | — | 12 | $-6 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? ● closed | $31 | $26 | — | 7 | $-5 |
Will Iran strike Turkey in March? ● closed | $17 | $12 | — | 2 | $-5 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $25 | $20 | — | 2 | $-5 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $45 | $41 | — | 4 | $-4 |
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Monday press conference? ● closed | $4 | $0 | — | 2 | $-4 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? ● closed | $39 | $43 | — | 5 | +$4 |
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? ● closed | $11 | $9 | — | 2 | $-3 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $16 | $13 | — | 4 | $-3 |
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? ● closed | $3 | $0 | — | 1 | $-3 |
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9? ● closed | $46 | $44 | — | 3 | $-2 |
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 31? ● closed | $13 | $11 | — | 3 | $-2 |
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? ● closed | $5 | $3 | — | 3 | $-2 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? ● closed | $15 | $13 | — | 2 | $-2 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? ● closed | $1 | $3 | — | 2 | +$2 |
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? ● closed | $15 | $13 | — | 2 | $-2 |
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain? ● closed | $48 | $47 | — | 6 | $-2 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? ● closed | $20 | $19 | — | 5 | $-2 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? ● closed | $11 | $9 | — | 3 | $-2 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? ● closed | $11 | $9 | — | 2 | $-1 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? ● closed | $103 | $102 | — | 19 | $-1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ● closed | $39 | $38 | — | 8 | $-1 |
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $3 | $2 | — | 2 | $-1 |
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? ● closed | $2 | $1 | — | 2 | $-1 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? ● closed | $10 | $9 | — | 2 | $-1 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31? ● closed | $5 | $4 | — | 2 | $-1 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $1 | $0 | — | 2 | $-1 |
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? ● closed | $10 | $9 | — | 2 | $-1 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $1 | $0 | — | 2 | $-1 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $1 | $2 | — | 2 | +$1 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | $-1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ● closed | $6 | $6 | — | 2 | $-0 |
Will UK strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $5 | $5 | — | 2 | $-0 |
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | $-0 |
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | $-0 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? ● closed | $20 | $20 | — | 2 | $-0 |
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? ● closed | $2 | $2 | — | 2 | $-0 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | $-0 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | $-0 |
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | $-0 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | $-0 |
Iran leadership change by April 30? ● closed | $4 | $4 | — | 2 | +$0 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? ● closed | $2 | $1 | — | 2 | $-0 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | $-0 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 1 | +$0 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | +$0 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | $-0 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | +$0 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | +$0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | +$0 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | $-0 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | $-0 |
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | +$0 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | +$0 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | +$0 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? ● closed | $5 | $5 | — | 2 | +$0 |
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (20)
Trading Activity · 90d
8 active days
Category Accuracy
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
16 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
22 betsunresolved0/0
+2
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