Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

GeopoliticsCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $10.3M24h Vol: $86.8M
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
99.9¢
Spread
conv64Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale52Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge58Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom95Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 9 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:1739 trades1% 🐋97% YES3% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:YES 100%·23 wallets(13🐋)·$1.2M
🏆 Biggest bet:YES$5.4M@ 100¢·0x2785…70ae

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$47.3K
6h+$47.6K
24h+$1.1M

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h97.3¢▲ overbought
VWAP 7d99.1¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
← now
$9.0M
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$75.4K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
YES$45.4K@ 99.9¢
Spas120x9c26…74bc
🐋+0.0%about 2 hours ago
YES$13.7K@ 99.9¢
bosshog0x47ab…95df
🐋+0.0%about 17 hours ago
YES$15.0K@ 99.9¢
duderr0x8f7a…db40
🐋+0.0%about 18 hours ago
YES$108.8K@ 99.9¢
JamesBonder0070x4d14…2366
🐋+0.0%about 18 hours ago
YES$41.2K@ 99.9¢
JamesBonder0070x4d14…2366
🐋+0.0%about 18 hours ago
YES$77.6K@ 99.9¢0x9ef5…5d4f🐋+0.0%about 21 hours ago
YES$406.3K@ 99.9¢
BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate0xadc2…d1c9
🐋+0.0%about 22 hours ago
YES$30.0K@ 99.9¢
666rockrockrock0x2e6c…51e0
🐋+0.0%about 22 hours ago
YES$199.8K@ 99.9¢
debased0x24c8…23e1
🐋+0.0%about 22 hours ago
YES$112.7K@ 99.9¢0x2785…70ae🐋+0.0%about 23 hours ago
YES$65.2K@ 99.9¢
tsekinming010x69aa…8847
🐋+0.0%1 day ago
YES$99.9K@ 99.9¢0x2785…70ae🐋+0.0%1 day ago
YES$12.2K@ 99.9¢
HZYTG0xb665…ed24
🐋+0.0%2 days ago
YES$28.8K@ 99.9¢
ElvenWisp0x8750…e96b
🐋+0.0%2 days ago
YES$102.3K@ 99.9¢0xf67f…31cf🐋+0.0%2 days ago
YES$15.0K@ 99.9¢
davisb120xdf17…97d1
🐋+0.0%2 days ago
YES$214.7K@ 99.9¢
Car0x7c3d…5c6b
🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$20.0K@ 99.9¢0xdaef…54e9🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$14.2K@ 99.9¢0x4d0e…c45b🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$72.1K@ 99.9¢
MisTKy0x35bb…009b
🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$342.4K@ 99.9¢0x5116…c5b8🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$17.0K@ 99.9¢0xdaef…54e9🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$50.0K@ 99.9¢0xdaef…54e9🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$25.0K@ 99.9¢
bosshog0x47ab…95df
🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$50.0K@ 99.9¢
bbbbbbbbbbb66860xc84f…e0c5
🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$99.9K@ 99.9¢
Debosnys0x7e30…1e50
🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$41.3K@ 99.9¢0x9902…34b3🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$389.3K@ 99.9¢
bobe20xed10…d2e5
🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$17.4K@ 99.8¢0x29a3…f128🐋+0.1%3 days ago
YES$17.4K@ 99.9¢0x29a3…f128🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$29.9K@ 99.8¢0xc30c…6509🐋+0.1%3 days ago
YES$10.3K@ 99.9¢0xb3f1…bdc6🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$18.1K@ 99.9¢
ochran0x8ebf…83ce
🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$20.0K@ 99.9¢0x141e…8c87🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$71.9K@ 99.9¢0x7ab7…5714🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$134.9K@ 99.9¢
JAHODA0x0e5b…a593
🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$97.2K@ 99.9¢
dumbfuq-p0Iycantchangepfp0x0a54…4a03
🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$14.9K@ 99.9¢0xa4bc…026c🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$5.4M@ 99.9¢0x2785…70ae🐋+0.0%3 days ago
YES$140.0K@ 99.8¢0xdef6…f69a🐋+0.1%4 days ago