Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
73.5¢
YES
26.5¢
NO
27.0¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
Price History
Orderbook YES/NO
Loading orderbook…
Accumulation
Loading…
Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
No whale activity
Related Markets · Geopolitics
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
100.0¢$268.9M0
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
0.2¢$82.8M67
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
0.2¢$46.5M28
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
0.1¢$44.4M0
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
7.0¢$34.2M5
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity