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US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 29 daysLiquidity: $793.4K24h Vol: $18.4M
99.9¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
99.9¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$99.9K@ 100¢·bobe2

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$0
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
← now
$1.7M
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$5.0K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$99.9K@ 99.9¢
bobe20xed10…d2e5
🐋-99.9%28 days ago
NO$99.9K@ 99.9¢
bobe20xed10…d2e5
🐋-99.9%28 days ago
NO$30.0K@ 99.9¢0x72f1…595e🐋-99.9%28 days ago
NO$14.3K@ 99.8¢0xc90d…c9d2🐋-99.9%28 days ago
NO$13.2K@ 99.8¢0x8004…35e6🐋-99.9%28 days ago
NO$11.4K@ 99.8¢0x8004…35e6🐋-99.9%28 days ago
NO$58.4K@ 99.8¢
onekey020xfaf9…f4c4
🐋-99.9%28 days ago
NO$28.9K@ 99.7¢
gaven-willwin0xfbe6…00f8
🐋-99.9%28 days ago
NO$34.4K@ 99.7¢
Dafu07150x9351…9e4d
🐋-99.9%29 days ago
NO$49.9K@ 99.8¢
tooy52450xc15b…38af
🐋-99.9%29 days ago
NO$52.9K@ 99.8¢0xb11a…3ae9🐋-99.9%29 days ago
NO$59.9K@ 99.8¢
refzer0x4b2f…1627
🐋-99.9%29 days ago
NO$18.8K@ 99.8¢0x72f1…595e🐋-99.9%29 days ago
NO$29.9K@ 99.7¢
ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35
🐋-99.9%29 days ago
NO$78.9K@ 99.6¢
EB999990x5d0f…f0ad
🐋-99.9%29 days ago
NO$38.4K@ 99.6¢
bobe20xed10…d2e5
🐋-99.9%29 days ago
NO$14.9K@ 99.6¢
bobe20xed10…d2e5
🐋-99.9%29 days ago
NO$99.7K@ 99.5¢
AdrianCronauer0xf9c1…39e2
🐋-99.9%29 days ago
NO$11.1K@ 99.4¢0x12a2…0e71🐋-99.9%29 days ago
NO$12.9K@ 99.4¢0x2f33…89cf🐋-99.9%29 days ago
NO$35.8K@ 99.4¢
EB999990x5d0f…f0ad
🐋-99.9%29 days ago
NO$27.7K@ 99.4¢
bobe20xed10…d2e5
🐋-99.9%29 days ago
NO$12.8K@ 99.4¢0x05df…882d🐋-99.9%30 days ago
NO$17.7K@ 99.2¢0x4e09…d784🐋-99.9%30 days ago
NO$27.5K@ 99.0¢
Hashbrown0xa52b…9480
🐋-99.9%about 1 month ago
NO$10.5K@ 98.7¢0x2f33…89cf🐋-99.9%about 1 month ago
NO$52.7K@ 98.9¢0xb11a…3ae9🐋-99.9%about 1 month ago
NO$34.1K@ 98.9¢
refzer0x4b2f…1627
🐋-99.9%about 1 month ago
NO$12.9K@ 98.8¢0x43fe…6314🐋-99.9%about 1 month ago

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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity