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US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 5 monthsLiquidity: $247.6K24h Vol: $842.4K
97.3¢
YES
2.7¢
NO
97.1¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 1 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:1 trades100% 🐋100% YES0% NO
🏆 Biggest bet:YES$13.6K@ 95¢·Huludubu

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.disputed

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$13.6K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current97.3¢
VWAP 24h95.2¢▲ overbought
VWAP 7d82.1¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
← now
$13.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$12.5K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$11.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
YES$13.6K@ 95.2¢
Huludubu0xe738…df65
🐋+2.2%about 22 hours ago
YES$12.5K@ 67.7¢0xe7cb…d447🐋+43.7%4 days ago
NO$11.0K@ 36.0¢0xd914…0d9a🐋-92.5%11 days ago

Related Markets · Geopolitics

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
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Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
0.6¢$57.3M28
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
0.1¢$44.4M0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
12.5¢$42.9M0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
12.0¢$37.7M23
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
HuludubuYES$13.6K