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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

● quote 64 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $223.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
99.5¢
YES
0.5¢
NO
0.6¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection50Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution96Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:33 trades$122.5K tracked15% 🐋source coverage 10%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 72 min agoofficial metadata 67 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$32.0K@ 55¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$53.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$53.4K
6h
+$53.4K
tracked
$122.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$11.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.6¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 64 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 72 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 67 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Unknown
Deadline
2026-07-30 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Resolution wording is unavailable. Treat this as missing decision evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x04b1…d2242 linked markets · $43.0K gross
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $14.0K gross
0x3308…f04b2 linked markets · $6.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$53.4K
6h+$53.4K
24h+$53.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.5¢
VWAP 24h72.7¢▲ above by 26.8pp
VWAP 7d72.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$22.7K
90¢
$42.1K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$58.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$13.7K@ 94.4¢0x04b1…d224🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$14.4K@ 94.0¢0x04b1…d224🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$11.8K@ 90.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA (NO)$26.6K@ 43.0¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$32.0K@ 55.0¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
58.5¢$895.0Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)
0.1¢$91.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
31.5¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢$897.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$765.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
100.0¢$703.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkgggg2mouzfuriaHanwha Life Esports$32.0K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill
0x04b1…d224Hanwha Life Esports$28.1K
BUY VWAP 94.2¢·2 fills
EztennisDplus KIA$26.6K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Hanwha Life Esports$11.8K
BUY VWAP 90.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.