LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

● quote 64 min ago
SportsCloses: 38 minutesLiquidity: $395.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $808.3KEvent: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly11Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:123 trades$57.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 7%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 84 min agoofficial metadata 66 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$43.5K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$43.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSK Gaming (NO)$43.5K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$182
6h
+$41.7K
tracked
$57.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$43.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 64 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 84 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 66 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-01 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX and SK Gaming in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 1 against SK Gaming. This market will resolve to "SK Gaming" if SK Gaming win Game 1 against GIANTX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x10ef…7d7b2 linked markets · $2.9K gross
0xf3ef…ca6b3 linked markets · $1.7K gross
0x84ad…bfb73 linked markets · $959 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 11.0pp · near-book depth $2$11 · 1s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$182
6h+$41.7K
24h+$41.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h5.3¢▼ below by 5.2pp
VWAP 7d5.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$2.6K
30¢
$1.7K
25¢
$1.7K
20¢
$1.0K
15¢
$2.3K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.