Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner

● quote 63 min ago
SportsCloses: 40 minutesLiquidity: $239.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $196.3KEvent: Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly77Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:22 trades$28.0K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 82 min agoofficial metadata 65 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Vitality (NO)$27.3K@ 60¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$190
6h
−$27.3K
tracked
$28.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$27.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -68.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 63 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 82 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 65 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-01 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant match between FUT Esports and Team Vitality in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 2 against Team Vitality. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Map 2 against FUT Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x86df…d9022 linked markets · $768 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Team Vitality@ 69.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $1.9K$23 · 3s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$190
6h$27.3K
24h$27.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h40.8¢▲ above by 59.1pp
VWAP 7d40.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$80
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$148
75¢
$137
70¢
$157
65¢
$4
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$3
45¢
$44
40¢
$27.3K
35¢
$5
30¢
$0
25¢
$140
20¢
$4
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTeam Vitality (NO)$27.3K@ 59.9¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

esportGGTeam Vitality$27.3K
BUY VWAP 59.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.