LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 66 min ago
SportsCloses: 36 minutesLiquidity: $540.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $245.2KEvent: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection48Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:140 trades$36.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 76 min agoofficial metadata 68 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGIANTX (YES)$20.0K@ 87¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$17.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$17.4K
6h
+$17.5K
tracked
$36.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$1.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 66 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 76 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 68 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-01 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX and SK Gaming in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 2 against SK Gaming. This market will resolve to "SK Gaming" if SK Gaming win Game 2 against GIANTX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x10ef…7d7b2 linked markets · $2.9K gross
0xf3ef…ca6b3 linked markets · $1.7K gross
0x84ad…bfb73 linked markets · $959 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 4.4pp · near-book depth $368$283 · 4s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$17.4K
6h+$17.5K
24h+$17.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h85.2¢▲ above by 14.7pp
VWAP 7d85.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$183
90¢
$3.3K
85¢
$23.7K
80¢
$1.9K
75¢
$5.9K
70¢
$573
65¢
$195
60¢
$0
55¢
$100
50¢
$68
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYGIANTX (YES)$20.0K@ 87.0¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

five5120GIANTX$20.0K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.