Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies

● quote 85 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $23.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $594.3KEvent: Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly51Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution84Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:87 trades$64.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 97 min agoofficial metadata 89 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYColorado Rockies (NO)$29.7K@ 54¢·0x0f1c…82c6

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$303
6h
−$61.1K
tracked
$64.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$24 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +45.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 85 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 97 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 89 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-09 00:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for August 1 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Colorado Rockies@ 55.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp
Latest book event: NO UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $32.9K$1.2K · 41s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$303
6h$61.1K
24h$61.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h42.1¢▼ below by 42.0pp
VWAP 7d42.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$344
75¢
$146
70¢
$0
65¢
$313
60¢
$35
55¢
$28
50¢
$7
45¢
$51.7K
40¢
$15
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$5.1K
20¢
$4.9K
15¢
$603
10¢
$1
5¢
$19
0¢
← now
$403

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYColorado Rockies (NO)$20.9K@ 54.0¢0x0f1c…82c6🐋about 5 hours ago
BUYColorado Rockies (NO)$29.7K@ 54.0¢0x0f1c…82c6🐋about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x0f1c…82c6Colorado Rockies$50.6K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.