Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
NO pressure: −$128.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.
1 verified profitable wallet: −$3.1K YES-equivalent over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 79% · priority 63
Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
This market will resolve to "Jeremiah Wells" if Jeremiah Wells is officially declared the winner of the fight against Myktybek Orolbai at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Myktybek Orolbai" if Myktybek Orolbai is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Largest holders
YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.