LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner

● quote 22 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $263.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $880.2KEvent: LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:244 trades$123.0K trackedsource coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 58 min agoofficial metadata 25 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$835·2 wallets·$835 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDplus KIA Challengers (NO)$10.0K@ 100¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$13.9K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$13.9K
6h
+$54.0K
tracked
$123.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$835 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 22 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 58 minutes old.
  • Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-11 16:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Esports Academy and Dplus KIA Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 11 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Esports Academy" if Nongshim Esports Academy win Game 2 against Dplus KIA Challengers. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win Game 2 against Nongshim Esports Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x695d…0d7c3 linked markets · $24.6K gross
Sisyphus.3 linked markets · $24.0K gross
0xd3f1…75352 linked markets · $23.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 8.0pp · near-book depth $2$106 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$13.9K
6h+$54.0K
24h+$54.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h34.6¢▼ below by 34.6pp
VWAP 7d34.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$1.3K
90¢
$264
85¢
$8.8K
80¢
$1.7K
75¢
$5.0K
70¢
$135
65¢
$2.2K
60¢
$100
55¢
$751
50¢
$4.0K
45¢
$17.1K
40¢
$21.6K
35¢
$9.8K
30¢
$4.6K
25¢
$149
20¢
$3.1K
15¢
$248
10¢
$5.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$36.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
54.5¢$424.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$179.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs
0.1¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
100.0¢$570.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$450.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$421.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$354.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.