LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

● quote 14 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $368.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $424.6KEvent: LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets18Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:241 trades$134.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $7.0K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$26.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDplus KIA Challengers (NO)$15.3K@ 100¢·Sisyphus.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$8.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$8.2K
6h
−$9.5K
tracked
$134.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$7.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 14 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 22 minutes old.
  • Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-11 16:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Esports Academy and Dplus KIA Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 11 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Esports Academy" if Nongshim Esports Academy win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against Nongshim Esports Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x695d…0d7c3 linked markets · $24.6K gross
Sisyphus.3 linked markets · $24.0K gross
0xd3f1…75352 linked markets · $23.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 7.7pp · near-book depth $33$50 · 4s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$8.2K
6h$9.5K
24h$8.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h23.2¢▼ below by 23.1pp
VWAP 7d23.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$90
90¢
$19
85¢
$264
80¢
$325
75¢
$510
70¢
$665
65¢
$0
60¢
$4.0K
55¢
$6.6K
50¢
$32.4K
45¢
$5.4K
40¢
$1.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.7K
25¢
$5.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$2.1K
5¢
$7.0K
0¢
← now
$66.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDplus KIA Challengers (NO)$15.3K@ 99.9¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋44 minutes ago
BUYDplus KIA Challengers (NO)$12.4K@ 99.9¢
backback0x996a…e3cc
🐋44 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sisyphus.Dplus KIA Challengers$16.5K
BUY VWAP 99.7¢·2 fills
backbackDplus KIA Challengers$12.4K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x1660…5598Dplus KIA Challengers$11.6K
BUY VWAP 45.8¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.