Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

● quote 68 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $185.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $312.3KEvent: Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
98.3¢
YES
1.8¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly39Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets85Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:133 trades$118.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 87 min agoofficial metadata 70 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $15.4K·5 wallets·$18.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYColorado Rockies (YES)$29.5K@ 45¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$153
6h
+$25.9K
tracked
$118.1K

5 verified profitable wallets: −$15.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +55.3pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 68 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 87 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 70 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-22 02:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 14 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Colorado Rockies@ 43.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +16.0pp1h CONFIRMED +50.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Colorado Rockies@ 42.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h CONFIRMED +51.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Colorado Rockies@ 45.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +16.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY San Francisco Giants@ 56.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: NO DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $21$234 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$153
6h+$25.9K
24h+$11.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current98.3¢
VWAP 24h46.1¢▲ above by 52.2pp
VWAP 7d46.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$117
90¢
$537
85¢
$324
80¢
$14
75¢
$0
70¢
$1
65¢
$493
60¢
$6.1K
55¢
$4.1K
50¢
$338
45¢
$57.9K
40¢
$48.1K
35¢
$7
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYColorado Rockies (YES)$10.1K@ 48.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYColorado Rockies (YES)$17.0K@ 41.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYColorado Rockies (YES)$29.5K@ 45.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$24.1K@ 56.0¢0x1333…e463🐋about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafColorado Rockies$61.0K
BUY VWAP 44.9¢·5 fills
0x1333…e463San Francisco Giants$24.1K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.