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Dolphins vs. 49ers

● quote 20s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $1.0MOfficial 24h Vol: $142.4KEvent: Dolphins vs. 49ers
10.5¢
Dolphins
89.5¢
49ers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets52Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:8 trades$17.3K trackedsource coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 25 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dolphins · $9.7K net·2 wallets·$12.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDolphins$7.0K@ 11¢·wan123

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Dolphins pressure: $1.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.9K
6h
+$9.5K
tracked
$17.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Dolphins · $9.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 25 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Dolphins or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 20:25 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins".

•If 49ers wins, the market will resolve to "49ers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 4:25PM ET: If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins". If 49ers wins, the market will resolve to "49ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dolphins; negative values favor 49ers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDolphins · $1.9K
6hDolphins · $9.5K
24hDolphins · $10.6K

Dolphins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dolphins price. 49ers fills are converted to the complementary Dolphins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current10.5¢
VWAP 24h10.8¢▼ below by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d10.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dolphins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$22.3K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

wan123Dolphins$11.0K
BUY VWAP 11.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.