Games Total: O/U 2.5

● quote 228 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $77.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $3.4KEvent: LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

41.0¢

YES

59.0¢

2.0¢

Spread

anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 100%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:4 trades$32.1K tracked50% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 233 min agoofficial metadata 236 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver (YES)$14.3K@ 39¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

YES pressure: +$3.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

+$3.5K

tracked

$32.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$17.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 100% · priority 45

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Executable quote is 228 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 233 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 236 minutes old.
•Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolving

Trading

Unknown

Deadline

2026-08-19 19:15 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Resolution wording is unavailable. Treat this as missing decision evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $28.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 41.0¢4h ago

Outcome checks pending

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$3.5K

6h+$3.5K

24h+$3.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current41.0¢

VWAP 24h39.1¢▲ above by 1.9pp

VWAP 7d39.1¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢