PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Bills (-6.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $181.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $10.5KEvent: Lions vs. Bills
45.5¢
Bills
54.5¢
Lions
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 100%
24h sample:3 trades$29.5K tracked33% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLions$27.8K@ 55¢·SDTrading

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$6
6h
−$27.8K
tracked
$29.5K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 100% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 7h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 00:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills win the game by 7 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lions". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lions".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 17 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lions". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi5 linked markets · $33.1K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $14.0K gross
JUSTINHERBERTMVP2 linked markets · $7.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bills; negative values favor Lions. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBills · $6
6hLions · $27.8K
24hLions · $26.1K

Bills price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bills price. Lions fills are converted to the complementary Bills probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h45.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d45.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Bills price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$29.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLions$27.8K@ 55.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Lions vs. Bills
31.5¢$125.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
51.5¢$102.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
56.5¢$17.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
52.5¢$2.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
65.5¢$4.6Mpriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?
88.5¢$779.6Kpriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
100.0¢$745.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingLions$27.8K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.