LoL: CCG Esports vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 Winner

● quote 66 min ago
SportsCloses: 15 minutesLiquidity: $247.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $83.8KEvent: LoL: CCG Esports vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection68Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%
24h sample:45 trades$9.4K trackedsource coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 109 min agoofficial metadata 70 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLCCG Esports (YES)$3.2K@ 100¢·0xb039…c6d9

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$6.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.4K
6h
−$3.6K
tracked
$9.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 66 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 109 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 70 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-15 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between CCG Esports and Contingent Esports in the North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "CCG Esports" if CCG Esports win Game 2 against Contingent Esports. This market will resolve to "Contingent Esports" if Contingent Esports win Game 2 against CCG Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xb039…c6d92 linked markets · $6.3K gross
0x6a93…8e362 linked markets · $3.8K gross
0x10ef…7d7b3 linked markets · $3.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$6.4K
6h$3.6K
24h$3.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h87.5¢▲ above by 12.4pp
VWAP 7d87.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$67
70¢
$29
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.6K
55¢
$1
50¢
$43
45¢
$54
40¢
$30
35¢
$0
30¢
$32
25¢
$31
20¢
$23
15¢
$57
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: CCG Esports vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier
0.1¢$108.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: CCG Esports vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$63.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics
18.5¢$443.8Kpriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$427.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
40.5¢$341.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
15.5¢$333.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.