PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)

● quote 10s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $264.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $221.6KEvent: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV - More Markets
99.9¢
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
5.0¢
Hamburger SV
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection52Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets84Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:28 trades$125.9K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 30 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hamburger SV · $13.1K net·3 wallets·$15.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBV Borussia 09 Dortmund$66.9K@ 100¢·NiNo999

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Hamburger SV pressure: $65.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$65.0K
6h
−$36.1K
tracked
$125.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: Hamburger SV · $13.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -52.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 30 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Hamburger SV or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-29 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund" if BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hamburger SV".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for August 29 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "BV Borussia 09 Dortmund" if BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hamburger SV". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $15.7K gross
UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $11.6K gross
GoalLineGhost2 linked markets · $4.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY BV Borussia 09 Dortmund2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY BV Borussia 09 Dortmund@ 52.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +8.0pp
Latest book event: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund UP 17.0pp · near-book depth $7.9K → $5.4K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor BV Borussia 09 Dortmund; negative values favor Hamburger SV. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHamburger SV · $65.0K
6hHamburger SV · $36.1K
24hHamburger SV · $45.9K

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund price VWAP

Volume-weighted BV Borussia 09 Dortmund price. Hamburger SV fills are converted to the complementary BV Borussia 09 Dortmund probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h78.4¢▲ above by 21.5pp
VWAP 7d78.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$66.9K
90¢
$0
85¢
$3.0K
80¢
$0
75¢
$1.9K
70¢
$25
65¢
$259
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$45.1K
45¢
$9.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBV Borussia 09 Dortmund$66.9K@ 99.9¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYBV Borussia 09 Dortmund$10.0K@ 52.5¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYBV Borussia 09 Dortmund$25.0K@ 52.2¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
47.0¢$1.6Mpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
100.0¢$909.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$487.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$422.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
56.6¢$418.8Kpriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29?
50.5¢$381.9Kpriority75Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$375.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
53.5¢$352.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

NiNo999BV Borussia 09 Dortmund$35.0K
BUY VWAP 52.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.