PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $218.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $133.0KEvent: San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox
83.5¢
YES
16.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly86Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:33 trades$50.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $36.8K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$36.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBoston Red Sox (NO)$21.3K@ 66¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$1.1K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.1K
6h
−$15.4K
tracked
$50.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$36.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -24.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-29 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 22 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $69.8K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $31.7K gross
RN12 linked markets · $1.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Boston Red Sox@ 41.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: YES UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $22.3K → $96.0K · 75s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$1.1K
6h−$15.4K
24h−$23.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current83.5¢
VWAP 24h38.6¢▲ above by 44.9pp
VWAP 7d38.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
← now
$100
75¢
$1.1K
70¢
$38
65¢
$19
60¢
$10
55¢
$1
50¢
$307
45¢
$6.2K
40¢
$12.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$31.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYBoston Red Sox (NO)$21.3K@ 66.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
53.5¢$967.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
31.5¢$544.0Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)
77.5¢$503.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$402.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
12.5¢$379.9Kpriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers
100.0¢$358.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)
43.5¢$275.7Kpriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Boston Red Sox$29.8K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·2 fills
0x3dfb…abafSan Francisco Giants$11.8K
BUY VWAP 42.6¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.