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Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $315.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $311.9KEvent: Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners
47.5¢
YES payout
52.5¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:78 trades$122.4K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 61 min agoofficial metadata 43 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$4.8K·3 wallets·$7.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSeattle Mariners (NO)$20.7K@ 100¢·0xce36…2b99

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-29 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for August 22 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 43m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 43m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
thatguythatguy2 linked markets · $29.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 41.4pp · near-book depth $25 → $1 · 1s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$20.8K
6h−$3.9K
24h+$6.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h44.8¢▲ above by 2.7pp
VWAP 7d44.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$310
90¢
$1.2K
85¢
$4.9K
80¢
$17.9K
75¢
$1.8K
70¢
$213
65¢
$3.8K
60¢
$9.4K
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.8K
45¢
← now
$38.3K
40¢
$25
35¢
$2.5K
30¢
$7.4K
25¢
$13.3K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$23.1K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLSeattle Mariners (NO)$20.7K@ 99.9¢0xce36…2b99🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSeattle Mariners (NO)$10.6K@ 53.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FeromontSeattle Mariners$12.7K
BUY VWAP 52.8¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.