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Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $95.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $20.9KEvent: Seahawks vs. Commanders
59.5¢
Seahawks
40.5¢
Commanders
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets86Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:12 trades$34.4K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 76 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Seahawks · $16.4K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$18.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeahawks$10.3K@ 60¢·maz26

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$5.4K
tracked
$34.4K

3 verified profitable wallets: Seahawks · $16.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 76 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if the Seahawks win the game by 7 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Commanders".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if the Seahawks win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
maz262 linked markets · $153.7K gross
HomeRunHazard5 linked markets · $48.4K gross
Herdonia3 linked markets · $32.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seahawks; negative values favor Commanders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSeahawks · $0
6hCommanders · $5.4K
24hCommanders · $3.3K

Seahawks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seahawks price. Commanders fills are converted to the complementary Seahawks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current59.5¢
VWAP 24h59.2¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d58.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seahawks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$10.4K
55¢
← now
$34.3K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSeahawks$10.3K@ 60.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Seahawks vs. Commanders
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Spread: Seahawks (-17.5)
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Seahawks vs. Commanders: Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
44.5¢$1.5Mpriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
47.5¢$1.2Mpriority40Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
51.5¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

maz26Seahawks$15.3K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.