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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $135.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $370.7KEvent: Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D
59.0¢
Alliance
41.0¢
Phantom Academy
8.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets83Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:63 trades$136.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Phantom Academy · $6.8K net·4 wallets·$8.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlliance$117.1K@ 40¢·111111111115

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Phantom Academy pressure: $5.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$5.2K
6h
+$112.4K
tracked
$136.4K

4 verified profitable wallets: Phantom Academy · $6.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
8.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 84% · priority 61

Since latest large flow: +21.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 8.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 21.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Phantom Academy or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-24 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against Phantom Academy.

•This market will resolve to " Phantom Academy" if Phantom Academy win the match against Alliance.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between Alliance and Phantom Academy in the United21 Group D, initially scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against Phantom Academy. This market will resolve to " Phantom Academy" if Phantom Academy win the match against Alliance. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 24, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Alliance45m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Alliance@ 42.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -13.6pp
Latest book event: Alliance UP 5.3pp · near-book depth $154 → $67 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alliance; negative values favor Phantom Academy. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhantom Academy · $5.2K
6hAlliance · $112.4K
24hAlliance · $112.4K

Alliance price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alliance price. Phantom Academy fills are converted to the complementary Alliance probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current59.0¢
VWAP 24h40.7¢▲ above by 18.3pp
VWAP 7d40.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alliance price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$6.2K
55¢
← now
$74
50¢
$2.4K
45¢
$293
40¢
$124.6K
35¢
$94
30¢
$87
25¢
$216
20¢
$704
15¢
$438
10¢
$6
5¢
$1.2K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlliance$117.1K@ 40.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115Alliance$117.1K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.