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Ethereum Up or Down on August 23?

Crypto→Settlement: UpLiquidity: $131.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $195.8KEvent: Ethereum Up or Down on August 23?
100.0¢
Up payout
0.0¢
Down payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:56 trades$34.0K trackedsource coverage 17%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 92 min agoofficial metadata 68 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUp$4.1K@ 87¢·0x06dc…4524

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Up. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 23 '26 12:00 ET candle.

•This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 23 '26 12:00 ET candle.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Up@ 95.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.4pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Up@ 94.4¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Down DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $572 → $364 · 14s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Up; negative values favor Down. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDown · $47
6hUp · $27.5K
24hUp · $21.3K

Up price VWAP

Volume-weighted Up price. Down fills are converted to the complementary Up probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h73.8¢▲ above by 26.2pp
VWAP 7d73.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Up price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$76
90¢
$5.0K
85¢
$7.3K
80¢
$13.1K
75¢
$2.2K
70¢
$57
65¢
$10
60¢
$74
55¢
$2
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$5.0K
20¢
$1.1K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x06dc…4524Up$27.3K
BUY VWAP 84.1¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.